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climate change

This project was developed to create a template to guide pest risk assessors through the steps to identify necessary adjustments to Pest Risk Analysis (PRA) to take account of climate change.

Research outcomes:

Pest Risk Analysis (PRA) is a formal process used by Biosecurity Australia to identify and assess the risk from pests and pathogens of concern to Australia. This project developed a template to guide pest risk assessors through the steps to identify necessary adjustments to PRA to take account of climate change. The template allows this to be done in a structured, repeatable and transparent manner. Completing the template for each PRA stage reveals whether risk has increased, decreased or remained unchanged. Accompanying this conclusion for each stage is a confidence score based on how much relevant data is available. This template is the first one developed that allows climate change to be factored into PRA.

Research implications:

Climate change is potentially going to cause significant changes to the arrival, establishment and spread of many pests and pathogens. Now that the template is available it will hopefully stimulate further work on this important problem.

The template will now ideally be applied to a range of quarantine pests and pathogens to establish how workable it is across a range of pest organisms. Results from wide application of the template may also prove useful by identifying common patterns of climate change influence. Another benefit from applying this template more widely would be to highlight where there is a particular lack of knowledge for elements of the PRA process or categories of pest.

Acknowledgements:

We would like to acknowledge the CRC Plant Biosecurity for supporting this project. Dr Ian Naumann from DAFF provided feedback on earlier versions of this document. We would also like to thank the following members of the QUADS working group for stimulating discussions and advice on how to incorporate climate change into analysis of pest risk: Karen Castro (Canadian Food Inspection Agency); Roger Magarey (North Carolina State University, USDA, APHIS) and Melanie Newfield (Ministry for Primary Industries, New Zealand).

Publications:

Climate Change and Pest Risk Analysis - Final Report

PROJECT DETAILS

Status
Complete
Institution
Department of Primary Industries, Victoria
Term
January 2012 - April 2012
Budget
$10,000

PROGRAM DETAILS

LOCATION

Climate change and diseases of food crops

Publication Type  Journal Article
Year of Publication  2011
Authors  Luck, J.; Spackman, M.; Freeman, A.; Trebicki, P.; Griffiths, W.; Finlay, K.; Chakraborty, S.
Journal Title  Plant Pathology
Volume  60
Issue  1
Pages  113-121

The geographical distribution of yellow dwarf virus serotypes and their aphid vectors in Australia

Publication Type  Journal Article
Year of Publication  2012
Authors  Parry, H.; Macfadyen, S.; Kriticos, D.
Journal Title  The geographical distrubution of yellow dwarf virus serotypes and their aphid vectors in Australia

Climate Change, Biosecurity and Migratory Insect Pests: Integrating Population Dynamics with ‘Over the Horizon’ Invasion Ecology

Publication Type  Conference Paper
Year of Publication  2011
Authors  Parry, H.R.; Kriticos, D.J.; Aurambout, J.; Griffiths, W.; Finlay, K.; De Barro, P.; Luck, J.
Conference Name  Science Exchange 2011
Conference Start Date  09/02/2011
Conference Location  Barossa Valley

Climate change implications for the pest status and vectoring potential of the bird cherry-oat aphid, Rhopalosiphum padi

Publication Type  Conference Paper
Year of Publication  2011
Authors  Finlay, K.; Aurambout, J.; De Barro, P.; Trębicki, P.; Griffiths, W.; Kriticos, D.; Parry, H.; Luck, J.
Conference Name  Science Exchange 2011
Conference Start Date  09/02/2011
Conference Location  Barossa Valley

Asia Pacific Network for Global Change Australian Workshop

Climate Change and Potato Late Blight in India and Bangladesh - why Australia should be taking notice.

The second Asia Pacific Network (APN) Works

The effects of climate data precision on fitting and projecting species niche models

Publication Type  Journal Article
Year of Publication  2010
Authors  Kriticos, D.; Leriche, A.
Journal Title  Ecography
Volume  33
Issue  1
Pages  115 - 127
Journal Date  01/2010

Understanding and adapting to the impact of climate change on pests and diseases of horticulture

Publication Type  Presentation
Year of Publication  2008
Authors  N/A,
Meeting Name  

National and Trans-Tasman Horticulture Science Conference

Meeting Start Date  

21 July 2008

Meeting Location  

Surfers Paradise, QLD, Australia

Will climate change affect Potato Late Blight?

APN workshop participantsAs reported in our October 2009 edition of