“You cannot prove an area is free of a particul
Modelling and Simulation with Mathematical and Computational Sciences (MODSIM) is uniquely a multi-disciplinary gathering of modellers – from a range of modelling disciplines (statistics, mat
Dr Low Choy attended the International Modelling and Simulation Congress where she received useful feedback on her recent research into encoding expert judgements.
Australia faces a significant challenge in order to minimise the entry, establish
| Publication Type | Journal Article [9] | |
| Year of Publication | 2008 | |
| Authors | Aurambout, J. [10]; Finlay, K. [11]; Luck, J. [12]; Beattie, A. [13] | |
| Journal Title | Ecological Modelling |
| Publication Type | Presentation [17] | |
| Year of Publication | 2008 | |
| Authors | Stanaway, M. [18] | |
| Meeting Name | Queensland Primary Industries and Fisheries | |
| Meeting Start Date | July 2008 | |
| Meeting Location | Queensland |
| Publication Type | Presentation [17] | |
| Year of Publication | 2009 | |
| Authors | Fulford, G. [21] | |
| Meeting Name | CRCNPB 2009 Science Exchange | |
| Meeting Start Date | 22 - 24 September 2009 | |
| Meeting Location | Sunshine Coast |
This project assessed the statistical and modelling tools available to evaluate surveillance systems and developed a surveillance system evaluation methodology to measure the effectiveness of early warning, area freedom and response surveillance. The project determined the sensitivity of surveillance systems to detection sensitivity, risk area analysis and uncertain epidemiological characteristics of spread and reproduction and optimise surveillance systems by using epidemiological knowledge.
Despite the biosecurity resources invested in surveillance programs, there are no accepted tools for evaluating the quality of surveillance with respect to the spatial epidemiology of invading pests. Surveillance implicitly underpins claims of plant health status for geographic areas. Our ability to manage eradication and containment programs, plant movement risks and early detection has been hampered by difficulties in interpreting what our surveillance is telling us. Quantitative surveillance analysis techniques based on epidemiological risk can provide a framework for measuring the value of data produced by surveillance systems and provide a methodology for assessing surveillance options.
This project resulted in a new PhD graduate trained in statistical techniques to guide and interpret surveillance emergency pest surveillance programs. The graduate was immediately employable within the plant biosecurity industry, increasing Australia's capability to undertake EPP surveillance.
© 2009-2012 CRC for National Plant Biosecurity | Disclaimer
Links:
[1] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/users/lowchoys
[2] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/content/surveillance-systems-you-can-count
[3] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/content/charting-pest-rankings-concert-challenges
[4] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/content/modelling-pest-risks
[5] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/content/spreading-collaboration
[6] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/publications/npb1379
[7] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/program/preparedness-and-prevention
[8] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/project/crc10071-climate-change
[9] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/publications/research/type/102
[10] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/publications/research/author/Aurambout
[11] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/publications/research/author/Finlay
[12] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/publications/research/author/Luck
[13] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/publications/research/author/Beattie
[14] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/publications/npb1326
[15] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/education-and-training
[16] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/education-and-training/project/crc60034-bayesian-surveillance-systems
[17] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/publications/research/type/1000
[18] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/publications/research/author/Stanaway
[19] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/publications/npb1292
[20] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/education-and-training/project/crc60129-mathematical-modelling-fumigant-resistance-affected-refuges-
[21] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/publications/research/author/Fulford
[22] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/content/rapid-response-needed-rein-biosecurity-breaks
[23] mailto:mark.stanaway@deedi.qld.gov.au
[24] http://legacy.crcplantbiosecurity.com.au/content/stanaway